Kensal Rise & Queens Park, 69 Chamberlayne Road, London, NW10 3ND
Kensal Rise & Queens Park, 69 Chamberlayne Road, London, NW10 3ND
estate agents

Here are the headlines for the fifth week of the 2026 UK property market (week ending Sunday 8 February 2026).

I, together with Alice Bullard from Nested, analyse the market in the weekly UK Property Market Stats Show. 

 

🟩 Listings – Strong

170k new properties have come onto the market YTD , 1% ahead of 2025, 12% above 2024, and 24% higher than the 2017–19 average.

🟩 GrossSales – Strong

114k UK homes sold STC YTD , 15% higher than 2024 and 23% above pre Covid norms.

🟩Net Sales  – Strong

87k UK net home sales YTD (Gross sales less Fall Thrus)  running 15% ahead of 2024, 33% ahead of 2023 and 19% above the 2017–19 average.

🟩Overvaluing  – Awful

Some 47% of the homes that left UK Estate Agents books in January were withdrawn unsold. Main cause – blatant overvaluing supported by long sole agency agreements of 20+ weeks.

 New Listings

+ 36.9k new properties came onto market this week in week 5, up from 36.6k last week.

+ 2025 weekly average: 30.6k.

+ 10-year week 5 average : 33.4k.

 Price Reductions

+ 21k reductions this week

+ 12.2% of resi homes for sale were reduced in January. Jan 25 – 12.8%.   Jan 24 – 11.1%

+ 2025 average was 12.8%, versus the 5-year long-term average of 10.74%.

 Sales Agreed

+ 25.4k homes sold stc this week 5, slightly down as expected from 26k last week.

+ Week 5 average (for last 10 years) : 24.8k

+ 2026 weekly average : 22.2k.

 Price Difference between Listings & Sales

+ 19.7% difference (long term 10 year average is 16% to 17%).  (£425k ave Listing Ave Asking price vs £366k Sale Agreed ave Asking price)

 Sell-Through Rate 

+ 13.6% of homes on agents’ books went SSTC in January ’26. (Jan ’25 – 15% / Jan ’24 – 13.9%)

+ Pre-Covid average: 15.5%.

 Fall-Throughs

+  5,468 fall-throughs last week (pipeline of 423k home Sold STC).

+ Weekly average for 2025: 6,100.

+ Fall-through rate: 21.5%, slightly up from 20.5% last week.

+ Long-term average: 24.2% (post-Truss chaos saw levels exceed 40%).

 Net Sales

+ 20k Net sales, down slightly from 20.7k last week

+ Ten-year Week 5 average: 19.7k.

+ Weekly average for 2026: 17.4k.

+ Weekly average for the whole of 2025: 19.2k.

 Probability of Selling (% that Exchange vs withdrawal)

+ Jan ’26  Stats : 53% of homes that left agents’ books exchanged & completed in Jan. (Note this figure will change throughout the month as more Feb stats come in).

+ December 60.2% / November 55.2% / October 53.3% / September: 53.1% / August :55.8% / July: 50.9% / June: 51.3% / May: 51.7% / April: 53.2%.

+ Jan 25: 54.3% / Jan 24: 50.7% / Jan 23: 54.4%  / Jan 22: 68.6%.

 Stock Levels 

+ 663k homes on the market on the 1st of February ’26. (660k – Jan 25)

+ 422k homes in agent’s sales pipeline on the 1st Feb 2026, slightly lower than 12 months ago on 1st Feb ’25 (433k).

 House Prices (£/sq.ft)

+ January ’26  agreed sales averaged £340.73 per sq.ft. 0.63% higher than 12 months ago (£338.59) and 16% than 5 years ago (£293.54). The £/sqft at sale agreed matches the HM Land Registry Index with a 98% accuracy, 5 months in advance. That is why it is so important.

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